Sunday, September 30, 2012
It's September, Time To Buy
At the beginning of the month,
we referenced an article which suggested that investors should sell in
September. And we are happy we didn't follow the advice in the article. For the record, the S&P 500 increased by about 2.4 percent in September, from 1,406.58 to 1,440.67. We would be happy with that return in any month.
Friday, September 28, 2012
Duke Energy Coup, Part Deux
Back in July, we posted about the two hour
CEO job that William Johnson held for two hours as CEO for the merged
Duke Energy/Progress Energy. As with many complicated stories, time
allows for more information to be disseminated.
For example, in an interview, old/ex/new CEO Jim Rogers said that he
had only given up his position as a CEO of Duke Energy in order to pay a
lower premium for Progress Energy. This implies that William Johnson
helped aid the sale of Progress at a discount in order to be the CEO of
the combined company, an accusation he vehemently denies.
Thursday, September 27, 2012
Investors Happy About RIM Loss
Research In Motion (RIMM), the manufacturer of the Blackberry, announced a loss
of $235 million or 45 cents per share for the second quarter compared
to a profit of $329 million or 63 cents per share in the second quarter last year. The loss per
share excluding one-time expenses was 27 cents per share. While this
would seem to be bad news, RIMM shot up 14 percent after the
announcement. So why the big jump in the stock price? Analysts had
expected a loss of 46 cents per share. As one analyst stated: "It's
still bad, but it's a much smaller disaster than expected."
Student Loans Climb
The average student loan debt has climbed to $26,682. Currently, unsubsidized Stafford loans have an interest rate of 6.8 percent.
So, if you graduate with an average student loan debt and pay off your
loan over the next 20 years, what are your monthly payments? See if you
don't agree that it will be $203.67 per month.
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
IPO Doubles Stock Market Size
Morgan Stanley has withdrawn
as the lead underwriter for the Asiacell IPO, which is set to take
place on the Iraqi bourse. It will be the first major IPO on the Iraqi
market since 2003. One interesting fact about the IPO is the large size
relative to the Iraqi bourse. The Iraq Stock Exchange has a market
capitalization of about $3.4 billion and trades an average of $3 million
per day. Asiacell is expected to have a market capitalization of about
$4.4 billion on its own.
Monday, September 24, 2012
GM Looks For A Revolver
GM is seeking a new revolver,
or revolving credit line, for between $8 and $10 billion. The revolver
will be used to replace an existing revolver of $5 billion, pay down
other debt, and to provide liquidity. The commitments from individual
banks will start at $600 million and go down to $350 million for the
second tier. The upfront fees are 35 to 50bp (bp is a basis point, or
1/100th of a percent. One basis point is equal to .01%) depending on the
amount committed by the bank. The interest rate on the loan is expected
to be 250bp over LIBOR, and GM will pay 37.5bp on the unused amount of the revolvers.
Thursday, September 20, 2012
IPO Bump?
It is well documented that there are cycles in IPOs. Recently, the IPO market has been relatively slow, but some analysts believe
that the time may be right for an increase in the number of IPOS. The
stock markets have experienced good returns over the past year, recent
IPOs have performed relatively well, and the VIX, the market's "fear
gauge," is low. Additionally, the JOBS Act, which allows companies to
file a confidential first draft of its registration documents, may
increase the number of publicly traded companies.
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