In August 2012, S&P cut the rating on U.S. Treasury debt from the
coveted AAA rating to AA+ with a negative outlook. Ratings agencies
typically release a credit outlook, which is the direction the rating
agency expects the credit rating to move next. Today,
S&P revised the outlook
on U.S. Treasury debt to positive, which indicates the agency believes
the probability of a credit downgrade is less than one in three.