Monday, August 26, 2019

Starbucks Profit

We are sure that you are familiar with store gift cards and the frustration of have 43 cents left on the card. In retail, gift card balances are known as stored value liabilities. Each year Starbucks recognizes that a portion of its stored value liabilities will be permanently lost. This is known as breakage. Starbucks recognizes this amount as profit. In 2018 the company recognized $155 million in breakage, around 10% of all stored value balances. Wow! Starbucks already pays just 0% on its debts to customers, but add in breakage and that equates to a roughly negative 10% interest rate!

Wednesday, August 14, 2019

Negative Interest Rates

As we have previously mentioned, worldwide negative yielding debt is at an extraordinary level. In fact, there is $15 trillion of negative yield debt outstanding. While negative yields have generally been relatively short-term, the entire German government bond yield curve is now negative. And while negative yielding government debt has occurred for the last several years, it hasn't reached the consumer market until now. Denmark's Jyske Bank recently announced that home buyers can now take out a 10-year mortgage with an interest rate of -.5 percent. This means that ignoring fees, home buyers will pay less for the house than the purchase price.